Glavni podaci: Pad BTC vrednosti za 19 milijardi dolara 10. oktobra; Ukupna otvorena pozicija: 24,2 milijarde dolara; Najviša vrednost: 126.000 dolara; Rizik: 40.000 – 60.000 dolara

[lklol]

On Oct 10, 2025 BTCUSD flash crash wiped out about $19B in leveraged positions; data into early 2026 show market structure and liquidity remained below pre-crash norms.
1
BTCUSD open interest rose to $24.2B, a five-week high. Perpetual futures funding stayed deeply negative as traders accumulated leveraged short positions, signaling crowded short exposure.
2
BTCUSD futures: speculators net-long, commercial traders net-short — a positioning mix similar to pre-2023 breakout, implying higher volatility risk for Bitcoin trading.
3
Weekly chart: BTCUSD shows a 2022-like macro fractal. Current price ~72,756. Model projects peak near $126,000 in Oct 2025 and possible drop to $40,000–$50,000.
4
Cowen finds three on-chain trough signals absent for BTCUSD: supply profit/loss crossover, MVRV Z-score below zero, and trade below realized (~$54,000) and balance (~$39,000) prices.
5
Bullish MACD crossovers have appeared near past BTCUSD lows. If pattern repeats, Bitcoin could fall below $60,000 or toward $50,000 depending on follow‑through.
6
Coinbase Premium turned positive, signaling stronger U.S. demand versus global buyers. Historically this has aligned with BTCUSD strength and coincided with Bitcoin trading above $73,000.
7
Pseudonymous analyst on X says a 23-month pattern marked BTCUSD bear lows in 2014, 2018, 2022 and forecasts a 2026 bottom with a subsequent expansion phase.
8
source: https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:9f0350b904e0c:0-key-facts-btc-19b-oct-10-crash-oi-24-2b-peak-126k-risk-40-60k/